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股票

Edison - UK Sparks: Profits breakdown at the AA


Motor breakdown and insurance group, the AA has reported a 65% drop in interim pre-tax profits to £28m on revenues 2% higher at £480m.

Despite the headline figure, chief executive Simon Breakwell, who announced a turnaround plan in February, says the group is making “good operational progress” across its roadside and insurance businesses.

He says he firmly believes it has the people and strategy in place to unlock its full potential and crystallise long-term value for shareholders.

The AA, which seen its shares fall 29% this year and has posted a series of profit warnings, also disclosed that its membership base has fallen by 2% to 3.2 million.

Online fashion retailer Boohoo Group has announced a 22% boost in interim pre-tax profits to £24.7m on revenues 50% higher at £395m.

The group, which last week recruited John Lyttle from Primark as its new chief executive, says international sales now accounts for 41% of its revenues.

The company says it now expects full-year revenues to increase by between 38%-43%, up from its previous guidance of between 35%-40%.

Speciality chemicals group Elementis says production at its chromium plant in North Carolina has been disrupted by flooding caused by Hurricane Florence.

Production is expected to resume next month and the impact on earnings is anticipated to be modest.

The group says the rest of its operations are trading is in line with expectations.

Food outlets operator SSP Group says in a trading update that it expects full-year like-for-like sales growth of between 2%-3%, in line with expectations.

Net contract gains for the full year are expected to be around the upper end of a previously announced range of between 4.5%-5%.

The company operates branded catering and retail concessions units at more than 125 airports and 270 railway stations worldwide.

And outsourcing specialist Mitie Group has issued an update saying it expects interim profits to be in line with expectations.

Chief executive Phil Bentley says: “The majority of our businesses are performing well and our larger contracts are delivering solid growth in volumes and profitability.”

Andrew Cave

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Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.  Visit www.edisoninvestmentresearch.com for more information.

Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Our research is a marketing communication as defined by the FCA, this communication only contains information that is an acceptable minor non-monetary benefit as defined under COBS2.3A19(5).

Information posted on IBKR Traders’ Insight that is provided by third-parties and not by Interactive Brokers does NOT constitute a recommendation by Interactive Brokers that you should contract for the services of that third party. Third-party participants who contribute to IBKR Traders’ Insight are independent of Interactive Brokers and Interactive Brokers does not make any representations or warranties concerning the services offered their past or future performance, or the accuracy of the information provided by the third party. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

This material is from Edison and is being posted with Edison’s permission. The views expressed in this material are solely those of the author and/or Edison and IBKR is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the material. This material is for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by IB to buy, sell or hold such security. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.


20574




宏观分析

GUOSEN Closing Bell (September 26)


MARKET

China stocks pulled back from morning’s jump, as MSCI Inc. said it’s considering increasing the weight of the shares in its global indexes from next year. That will make billions of money inflow in Chinese market. Food& Beverage and Oil sectors were the best performers, while Power sector led the falls. Combined turnover for both markets was CNY 310.1 bn, up 28.03% dod.

 

 

Close

% Change

Vol (bn CNY)

%YTD

Shanghai

2806.81

0.92

145.06

-15.13

Shenzhen

8420.54

0.80

165.31

-23.73

CSI 300

3417.24

1.11

119.11

-15.22

ChiNext

1420.75

1.06

46.59

-18.94

 

Sector

Top 1

Led by

Top 2

Led by

Upward-leading

Food& Beverage

300138

Oil

600387

Downward-leading

Power

002630

 

 

 

NEWS

*MSCI weighs boosting China exposure in key EM index. Global index provider MSCI is considering substantially increasing the weighting of mainland-listed Chinese shares in its flagship Emerging Markets index, a move that it says could attract inflows of at least $66bn over the next couple of years. (Financial Times)

 

FUND FLOW

 

Click here for more information about Guosen.

This article is from Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. and is being posted with Guosen Securities Co., Ltd.’s permission. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and/or Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. and IB is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the article. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold such security. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

 


20573




宏观分析

Eurex: FOMC On Deck, Followed By RBNZ


Morning Briefing September 26th 2018


The calendar starts early again Wednesday, at 0645GMT, with the release of September consumer sentiment data in France. The prior August reading was 97.  

Next up, at 0830GMT is the UK Finance New Home loan approvals for August. In July, the new home loan approvals dipped to 39,584 from 40,330 in June.

A quiet morning means it's straight over to the US at 1100GMT with their MBA Mortgage Applications data for September. In August, applications grew by 1.6%.

President of the Federal Republic of Germany Frank-Walter Steinmeier is in Frankfurt Weds, visiting the ECB.

US New home sales are due at 1400GMT and are expected to hold steady at a 627,000 annual rate in August following declines in the previous two months. Unadjusted sales were up 10.4% from a year earlier in July. Meanwhile, home supply was up 2.0% month/month and 12.0% year/year, so the supply is rising and should be more than adequate to meet demand.

The moment markets were waiting for today is at 1800GMT with the Federal Reserve's FOMC policy announcement. Markets are pricing in a 25bps hike in the Bank Rate to 2.00%. This will be followed up with Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell holding a news conference in Washington, DC.

Global Economic Trading Calendar


Markets


US TSYS: It has been a limited session for Tsys ahead of the impending FOMC MonPol decision. - T-Notes have stuck a 2 tick range, with the Eurodollar strip trading 0.5 tick lower to 1.5 ticks higher last.

JGBS: JGB yields edged lower ahead of today's 40-Year supply, after 2 sessions of noteworthy concession, which was of course aided by the BOJ trimming the size of its 25+ Year Rinban operations on Friday. - There has been a limited initial reaction to the latest JGB auction, with the cover ratio holding firm and the high yield printing 0.5bp below dealer exp.

AUSSIE BONDS: Aussie Bonds have held firm in the wake of the AOFM's A$1.5bn auction of the 2.50% 21 May 2030 Bond. When adjusted for the increased size of the auction the cover ratio actually ticked higher, with the tail holding steady in terms of length. - Aussie Bond futures hover just off of the recent cycle/contract lows, as Tsys hold above Tuesday's session lows, aided by a late 20K FVZ8 block buyer on Tuesday. - The domestic 3-/10-Year yield differential continues to edge steeper, last 62.5bp, while the AU/U.S. 10-Year yield spread hovers around ~-35.0bp. - 3-Month BBSW fixed 0.2bp lower after moving higher over the last 2 fixings, with the Bill strip last trading unchanged to 2 ticks higher.

STOCKS: Chinese linked stocks garnered the most attention in the region on Wednesday. - Reports late on Tuesday suggested that MSCI is considering increasing the weight of China's A shares in its indices. This came after Bloomberg reported that FTSE Russell is set to announce China A-Share inclusion in its relevant indices at some point this week. This allowed the CSI 300 to added 1.6%, with the Hang Seng adding a similar amount as Hong Kong returned from a market holiday. - Elsewhere the Nikkei 225 added 0.1% as USD/JPY stalled around Y113.00. The energy & consumer staples sectors provided the largest gains, while utilities and financials applied the most weight. - The ASX 200 added 0.2% with the energy and materials sectors amongst the largest gainers, while financials continued to lag, weighing on the index.

OIL: WTI & Brent trade a few cents lower than settlement last, although the benchmarks are back from session lows. Reports suggest that the latest API inventory release pointed to a headline build of 2.3mn bbls vs. exp. for a draw in crude stocks, while distillate stocks unexpectedly fell and gasoline stocks rose slightly more than exp. Reports also indicated that the release pointed to a build in inventory at the Cushing hub. - Tuesday saw U.S. President Trump continue his criticism of OPEC/high oil prices, although his comments generated little sustained reaction. - U.S.-Iran verbal sparring continues as long time Iran hawk John Bolton warned Tehran that there would be "hell to pay" if it continued to "cross" the U.S. & its allies. Elsewhere U.S. President Donald Trump and his Iranian counterpart Rouhani clashed at the UN Assembly on Tuesday.- Washington's special envoy for Iran noted that "the U.S. will make sure the oil market is well supplied before it re-imposes oil sanctions against Iran."- Reports late Tuesday noted that India is not planning to buy any crude oil from Iran in November.

GOLD: It was another limited session for the yellow metal overnight as $1200/oz provided support in spot trade, while the 55-DMA caps.

FOREX: Commodity linked FX benefitted from an uptick in the latest ANZ biz conf. survey, with NZD leading the way higher. Headline confidence remains deep in -ve territory, while investment intentions slid further. This should mean that the RBNZ re-deploys its forward guidance i.e. "the direction of our next OCR move could be up or down," when it issues it latest monetary policy decision tomorrow, in spite of the stronger than exp. NZ Q2 GDP data. NZD had blipped lower in early dealing on the back of the widest Aug NZ trade deficit on record. - AUD/USD had a brief look at long-term trendline resistance ($0.7287) but failed to mount a serious challenge of the level. - USD/JPY registered a high of Y113.03, last Y112.95. Bulls continue to eye a sustained move through Y113.00, with the July 19 high (Y113.17) in sight. It is worth noting that there is some $3.3bn of Y113.00 option strikes rolling off today through Friday, with sources highlighting that these are all calls.

Technical Analysis


BUND TECHS: (Z18) Downtrend Extends
 

The Dec-18 Bund suffered further losses yesterday as the downtrend extends and bears target the May 15 low on the continuation chart. Below here lies the ytd low of 156.66 and a break would confirm a major bearish reversal. Bulls need to overcome the 100-dma at 159.16 which is now acting as resistance ahead of a potential return to the Sep 12 high at 159.78.

EUROSTOXX50: Back Above 55-dma

Eurostoxx50 recovered its 55-dma yesterday as the Aug 28 high of 3426.81 comes into focus. A break above here would mark a higher high for the index and bring key down trendline resistance from the Jan high into play. Bears look for a close back below the Sep 18 low at 3337.37 to return the focus to the March 26 low at 3261.86.

Eurex Futures Market Close


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This article is from Eurex Exchange and is being posted with Eurex Exchange’s permission. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and/or Eurex Exchange and IB is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the article. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold such security. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.


20572




期货

Blue Line Futures - FX Rundown


The Federal Reserve is expected to hike interest rates tomorrow at 1:00 pm CT. Bill Baruch breaks down what he's looking for.

 

 

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Visit our website atwww.bluelinefutures.comto open an account and stay up to date with our research.

Bill Baruchis President and founder ofBlue Line Futures. Bill has more than a decade of trading experience. Working with clients he focuses on developing trading strategies that present a clear objective for both long and short-term trading approaches. He believes that in order to properly execute a trading strategy, there must be a well-balanced approach to risk and reward.

Prior to Blue Line, Bill was the Chief Market Strategist at iiTRADER which followed running a trade desk at Lind Waldock and MF Global.

Bill is a featured expert on CNBC, Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal as well as other top tier publications.

Blue Line Futuresis a leading futures and commodities brokerage firm located at the Chicago Board of Trade. We work with clients that range from institutional to professional to novice and from self-directed to broker-assisted. No matter what type of trader you are, our mission is simple; to put the client first. This means bringing YOU strong customer service, consistent and reliable research and state of the art technology.

This video is from Blue Line Futures and is being posted with iBlue Line Futures' permission. The views expressed in this video are solely those of the author and/orBlue Line Futuresand IB is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the article. This material is for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by IB to buy, sell or hold such security. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

 


20571




技术分析

Tradable Patterns - Soybean (ZS) Weekly MACD Trying to Positively Cross


Soybean (ZS) is firming in today's European morning, and remains poised to push higher this week after briefly Thursday breaking descending wedge/triangle resistance (in the daily chart).  Although ZS' September low so far has been slightly below the July low, ZS has refused to test the 800 whole figure level.  If ZS decisively breaks above the daily chart descending wedge/triangle resistance in the next day or so, ZS will likely retest the August high within a few weeks.  The weekly and daily RSI, Stochastics and MACD are bottomish, rallying or consolidating recent gains.  I am looking to enter long in the green zone (of the daily chart), targeting the red zone for Friday.  The amber/yellow zone is where I might place a stop if I was a swing trader (although in my personal account with which I seldom hold overnight I sometimes set my stops tighter).
 
Soybean (CME ZS Nov18) Weekly/Daily/4hr
 
 
Click here for today's technical analysis on EURUSD, Cocoa

As seen on Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset, Interactive Brokers, Inside Futures and Zerohedge, Tradable Patterns was launched to demonstrate that the patterns recurring in liquid futures and spot FX markets can be analyzed to enhance trading performance. Tradable Patterns’ daily newsletter provides technical analysis on a subset of three CME/ICE/Eurex/SGX  futures (commodities, equity indices, and interest rates), spot FX and cryptocurrency markets, which it considers worth monitoring for the day/week for trend reversal or continuation. For less experienced traders, tutorials and workshops are offered online and throughout Southeast Asia.

 

This article is from Tradable Patterns and is being posted with Tradable Patterns’ permission. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and/or Tradable Patterns and IB is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the article. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold such security. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

 


20570




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披露

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